This combined with recent data show one thing: People want to bet on games!
– 45 million American’s placed a march madness bet during the 2021-22 NCAA Tournament
– 76% are likely to bet on each game instead of brackets (up from 55%).
The season starts early November with a slate of non-conference games.
There is usually some value here as good freshman, new coaches, etc. are not accurately measured by the sportsbooks. This is only going to be harder as transferring becomes more prevalent. With 1500+ transferring, the sport has entered a free agency period. Now, it is much harder to predict a team’s performance level or ranking with 1500 of these players changing teams.
To find the best values and gain a true advantage, use Impact Evaluator for game projections, team analysis, team comparison, ShotQ (shot quality), and expert picks.
After the non-conference portion of the schedule concludes there is a conference slate. Teams play each other 2-3x times depending on conference scheduling. Then there is the conference tournament with the winner earning an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament.
There is less of an advantage for the bettor compared to non-conference games especially halfway through conference play. At this point in the schedule teams have played 10+ games, so the sportsbooks have more data to price these games. Additionally, since all of these teams play each other a number of times, the sportsbooks can use prior matchups against similar teams or the first game between the teams to set the price more accurately.
However, there is still an edge to be gained using Impact Evaluator’s game projections, team comparisons, and expert picks.
Yes, you can bet on the conference tournaments on most major sportsbooks. Since it is a tournament setting it is set up as a future and provides larger payouts.
At this point in the season, there is enough data on teams for the sportsbooks to project games. However, betting on conference tournaments is less about a specific matchup. Winning a conference tournament involves playing style, momentum, luck, offensive firepower, and the right player continuity.
Impact Evaluator provides future betting odds that account for all the necessary factors to win a conference tournament and highlights any impactful advantage for subscribers to bet.
It is important to note that point totals are much lower due in large part to less playing time and longer shot clocks. The college game is 2 20-minute halves (40 minutes total), whereas the NBA game is 4 12-minute quarters (48 minutes total). The NBA shot clock is only 24 seconds compared the NCAA’s 35 second shot clock.
It is important to keep this in mind when betting point totals.
Another key difference is spread / moneyline related.
The difference between the best and worst college basketball teams is much greater than the best and worst NBA teams. You will see much larger spreads (and moneylines) when betting on college basketball compared to the NBA.
The standard bet for a spread or point total is -110, which means that a ~52.4% hit rate is needed to break even.
Bettors are at a disadvantage if they are picking games with key injuries. It is hard for individual bettors to know their impact. To be fair, it is also hard for the sportsbooks, but they are better at pricing in the risk than most individuals better are at pricing the risk.
There are so many conferences, if you happen to track one conference more than the rest you may have extra intel that helps your betting performance.
Whether you track a specific conference or not, it is important to use tools in combination with any intel you possess.
Use these tools on Impact Evaluator to win more of your college basketball bets:
You can use a sportsbook like Draftkings, FanDuel, BetMGM, etc. to place single game bets, parlays, futures, or round robin bets. You can bet spread, moneyline, or point total for any college basketball game.
The spread represents the expected margin of the game. Do you want the underdog and the extra points or do you think the favorite will win by more than the expected margin.
Yes, overtime counts towards your bet on spread or point total.
The games consists of 2 20-minute halves.
Overtime in college basketball is only 5 minutes. If the game is still tied, then another 5 minutes are played until someone eventually wins a 5-minute segment.
College basketball games are shown on ESPN, CBS, CBS SPORTS NETWORK, FoxSports, TBS, TNT, USA, and a number of streaming platforms.
Moneylines allow bettors to pick the winner of the game at the price show. For example, +125 returns $125 on a 100 bet. A moneyline like -200 means that a bettor has to wager 200 dollar to win 100 dollars.
College basketball over/unders bets are the same as point total bets. This is simply the combined total score of the game (including overtime). The average point total is around 140 points.
A live bet is any bet placed once the ball has been tipped. The odds will adjust as the game progresses. To place a live bet, use your choice of sportsbook and look for any game that has started.
Yes, you can bet on college basketball futures. Throughout the season, bettors have the option to bet on the winner of the NCAA tournament, winner of individual conferences in the regular season, winner of individual conference tournaments, and player of the year. Use Impact Evaluator to view the college basketball futures with the most value and our expert picks.